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Noon Edition

How Worried Should Hoosiers Be About Recent Indicators Of Recession?

Image of car

Areas like the auto industry have largely recovered from 2008 financial crisis, but recent trade agreements and tariffs add new challenges for the industry and others. (Creative Commons)

Noon Edition airs on Fridays at noon on WFIU.

Since mid-August, talks of a possible recession have surfaced among economists and investors when an inverted yield curve appeared in the bonds market.

Every recession for the last 60 years was foreshadowed by an inverted yield curve. Usually, long-term bond investments yield higher returns. If longer term bonds have a lower interest-rate than short-term bonds, the market’s yield curve is inverted.

This means investors are not feeling confident in longer-term bonds. They would rather get smaller returns on shorter-term investments, which is an indicator of economic insecurity.

As tariff conflicts between China and the U.S. continue, many people wonder if the US economy will hold out.

But not everyone thinks a recession is approaching, as consumer spending is still up and unemployment rates are at a 50 year low.

This week on Noon Edition, we’re talking about the possibility of recession and what it would mean in Indiana and the nation.

You can follow us on Twitter @NoonEdition or join us on the air by calling in at 812-855-0811 or toll-free at 1-877-285-9348. You can also send us questions for the show at news@indianapublicmedia.org.

Our Guests

Mike Hicks, Professor of Economics and Business Research Director at Ball State

Bill Witte, Professor in Indiana University's Department of Economics

Doug Ummel, Financial Advisor for Wellington Investment Advisors

Ron Breymier, Executive Director of the Indiana Manufactured Housing Association

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