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Experts Say Delta Variant Could Cause Case Increases

By Bente Bouthier

Posted July 7, 2021

Monroe Co COVID vaccination

(Joey Mendolia WFIU/WTIU News)

While COVID infection rates have decreased and stabilized this summer­ – IU Health officials and experts with the Fairbanks School of Public Health say variants of the virus could be the leading cause of increased cases this fall and winter. 

Shandy Dearth is director of undergraduate epidemiology education at the Fairbanks School of Public Health. She said the Delta variant, which is present in Indiana, is the one of most concern.

“What we’re seeing that that might be up to 40% more contagious, and COVID has been very contagious to start with. What we’re seeing with Delta is that people are more likely to experience coughing and sneezing and therefore are just more likely to spread it,” Dearth said.

Dearth is concerned that a more infectious variant with a higher symptomatic rate could mean more hospitalizations and deaths in the coming months. 

She said she doesn’t expect the same surge on the health care system that happened last fall and winter. 

Dr. Tom Hrisomalos is an infectious disease expert with IU Health. He said it’s normal for viruses to mutate.

“The variants that have emerged so far, some of them more transmissible, the immunity generated by the vaccine still seem to bind to them and inhibit their growth with near full effectiveness,” Hrisomalos said.

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