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Brexit Decision Leaves US And Hoosiers Concerned

By Lindsey Wright

Posted June 24, 2016

In a close vote, the United Kingdom decided to leave the European Union early Friday morning leaving some people shocked. The UK's decision is a bombshell of uncertainty.

Lee Feinstein, the Dean for the School of Global and International Studies at Indiana University says amidst that uncertainty are predictions of an unclear stock market, a recession in the UK, and a stronger dollar to the pound that could negatively impact exports.

However, Feinstein says the main concerns are ultimately political because the U.S.'s closest partners are in Europe.

"Most of our trade happens with the Europeans," Feinstein says. "When we want to make a point diplomatically overseas we turn to our friends in Europe, so a Europe that's divided means less of a strong ally across the Atlantic."

The economic uncertainty doesn't stop there. Feinstein says if predictions of a recession hold true it will reduce opportunities for Hoosiers to sell abroad and to create jobs locally.

But a Purdue University economist says he doesn't think Indiana will feel much of an impact after voters in the United Kingdom elected to leave the European Union. Jerry Lynch is a former interim dean of Purdue's Krannert School of Management and says the state and its businesses will have to take a wait-and- see approach .

"It's not going to be dire. It has the potential, depending on the kind of agreements that get negotiated, of slowing down world growth in the economy. And if world growth slows down, Indiana is affected by it, there's no question at all," he says.

Lynch says he thinks British companies with a significant presence in Indiana – such as Rolls-Royce and food chemical manufacturer Tate and Lyle – will likely find it more profitable to stay near their existing supply chains than to divest from the state.

Stan Jastrzebski contributed to this story.

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